Super Bowl Picks and Predictions: Cincinnati's Storybook Run Ends Short
Super Bowl 56 is the last part of the Cincinnati Bengals' celebrated run from outrageous longshots to competitors. Nonetheless, the strong Los Angeles Rams stand as the last chief. Our wagering 텐벳 picks check out whether the Bengals miss the mark or track down that uncommon greatness.
Everybody adores a dark horse story, however do the Cincinnati Bengals have a fantasy finishing off with sight? Super Bowl LVI is turning out to be a rare "David versus Goliath" yarn, with the rough Bengals hoping to overcome the strong Los Angeles Rams - on the Rams' home turf, regardless. The situation is anything but favorable for the Bengals, however we've been here previously.
The Super Bowl chances hit it hard with Los Angeles selected a 4-point NFL wagering top pick for the Big Game, which rose to - 4.5 at some sportsbooks, with the heft of the early cash favoring the Rams, before Cincy got a rush of help, dropping down. The Bengals, who have amassed the bigger ticket count, slew a couple of top AFC seeds on the way to the Super Bowl.
The inquiry currently is... do our free NFL picks and expectations for Bengals versus Rams anticipate that the little men should arise triumphant one final time?
Bengals versus Rams chances
This chances gadget addresses the best chances accessible for each wagering market from controlled sportsbooks.
Los Angeles opened between - 3.5 and - 4.5 after the NFC Championship Game and the market arrived at an agreement of Rams - 4 starting at Monday morning. Be that as it may, while ticket count piled up on Cincinnati as a dark horse, greater wagers arrived on L.A. what's more moved this spread to as high as - 4.5 starting at Tuesday evening. Los Angeles can be had as low as - 4 (- 105) at online books.
The all out likewise moved, opening at 50 places and rapidly dropping to 49 in the initial 12 hours of activity. That number has since thinned to as low as 48 places, with early assessments on the Under. There is a decent opportunity this number ticks up nearer to the opening shot, as the Over is a famous play with sporting bettors on Super Sunday.
Utilize the live chances gadget above to follow any future line developments until the opening shot and make certain to look at the full NFL chances prior to putting down your wagers.
Bengals versus Rams expectations
Expectation: Rams - 4 (- 105)
Expectation: Under 48.5 (- 110)
Smartest option: First quarter Under 9.5 (- 120)
Expectations made on 2/1/2022 at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Click on every expectation to leap to the full investigation.
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Bengals versus Rams game data
• Area: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
• Date: Sunday, February 13, 2022
• Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• Television: NBC
Bengals versus Rams wagering sneak peak
Key wounds
Bengals: Tyler Higbee TE (Questionable), Taylor Rapp FS (Questionable), Joe Noteboom T (Questionable).
Rams: C.J. Uzomah TE (Questionable), Josh Tupou DT (Questionable), Cameron Sample DE (Questionable).
Observe our most recent NFL injury reports.
Wagering pattern to know
The Under is 27-10-1 in Rams' last 38 games as top picks. Observe more NFL wagering patterns for Bengals versus Rams.
Top Consensus
Bengals versus Rams picks and expectations
Our expectations are arranged from the examination of the spread and absolute and indicate where we are inclining for this game.
Our smartest choice is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would really put a portion of our bankroll behind.
Spread examination
With the spread opening as low as Rams - 3.5, moving to - 4, and presently sitting as high as - 4.5, there's not an over the top contrast between those spreads. Yet, four focuses is the most widely recognized edge of triumph (4.85% starting around 2000) outside of the standard key numbers in football wagering (3, 6, 7, 10, and 14), so we'll snatch the least spread on L.A. we can find starting at Tuesday evening.
Regard is given to the Bengals, who knocked off the best two seeds in the AFC out and about, however Cincinnati's Cinderella run has fairly behaved recklessly in the postseason. The Bengals have been outgained in every one of the three season finisher games up until this point (1,012 yards to 1,113 yards) and have looked a long way from a title type club for an entire an hour of activity, particularly in those last two excursions.
Cincinnati has profited from key important points at the ideal times to assist with fixing those successes, yet at the same time has weak spots staying from the customary season that have been intensified in the end of the season games. Safeguarding star quarterback Joe Burrow is one of those sensitive areas.
Tunnel was sacked a NFL-high multiple times in the normal season and has experienced twelve sacks in the end of the season games, nine of which came against a Tennessee pass rush that recorded 43 sacks on the year. Last weekend, Burrow went down once versus the Chiefs however was rushed on various plays, compelling him to discard the ball or scramble for yards on the ground. His hostile line, which sits 31st in changed sack rate, has a tall undertaking of containing the Rams' vaunted pass rush (No. 1 in pass rush win rate at 53%) on Super Sunday.
Los Angeles had 50 sacks in the ordinary season and has recorded just five such a long ways in three postseason excursions, yet that protective front remaining parts similarly as problematic by rushing contradicting passers into awful tosses and thumping down balls at the line. That is stopped those rival offenses from tracking down a mood and has prompted L.A's. protective accomplishment on third down in the postseason.
Los Angeles has permitted its postseason enemies to change over on just shy of 19% of their third-down endeavors over the beyond three games and sits No. 1 in EPA permitted per play on those pivotal third-down lashes out at - 0.996. The Rams fabricated those numbers against a few strong third-down offenses too, with the 49ers, Bucs, and Cardinals generally Top 10 in DVOA on third downs at Football Outsiders.
The Bengals (No. 14 in third down DVOA) have wound up in a lot of third-and-long circumstances during their far-fetched race to the Super Bowl, possessing a 48.78% transformation rate on third downs, including a 8-for-14 exertion in the AFC title game 스보벳. On the year, the Bengals moved the chains on 41.13% of third-down endeavors.
With the Rams' strain constraining the Bengals to consume plays on expendables, sacks, and first down runs, those third-down circumstances will appear a ton in the Super Bowl. On the off chance that L.A. can continue to usher its adversary off the field on those key snaps, Cincinnati will not have the option to acquire the force it needs to place this Los Angeles stop unit behind its.
In the event that you're reallyinclining in the direction of L.A. in Super Bowl LVI yet aren't wild about laying the focuses, the Rams moneyline could be a straightforward choice however may frighten off some at the - 200 sticker price. Nonetheless, with the Big Game longshot generally a well known out and out pick among easygoing card sharks, you can delay until nearer to the opening shot and perceive how modest the Rams moneyline sinks.
Forecast: Rams - 4 (- 105)
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Over/Under examination
This Over/Under opened as large as 50 places and early play on the Under has thinned the absolute to as low as 48. The lookahead complete for this matchup - before the title games Sunday - was 51.5 focuses and considering the passing ability on the two sides, a 50 or more completion doesn't appear to be excessively far too far in Super Bowl LVI.
All things considered, assuming you're moving the Rams in the Big Game, you're probably inclining toward the L.A. safeguard to take care of business and don't have any desire to see a shootout with this perilous Bengals getting corps. Also neither does Rams mentor Sean McVay.
McVay, never modest with regards to running the football, could pick to play a little protection on offense and uncover probably Cincinnati's most prominent shortcoming with the Bengals permitting seven of its last eight rivals to break the century blemish on the ground.
Kansas City thundered for 139 yards on 24 conveys versus the Bengals in the AFC Championship, sinking Cincy's EPA permitted per rush measurement to - 0.011 since Week 12 with those adversary running backs possessing a 49.2% achievement rate for every rush in that range (30th).
Los Angeles' surging assault has been a long way from solid in the postseason - positioned out dead rearward in EPA per convey - however it has run into some intense stop units in those games, with Tampa Bay, San Francisco, and Arizona all Top 10 in Defensive DVOA and sitting No. 1, No. 2 and negative. 4 individually in EPA permitted per rush on the season.
The Rams had the option to get RB Cam Akers in the arrangement for the end of the season games after he missed the whole ordinary season with an Achilles injury and have a dose of likewise returning Darrell Henderson to that hurrying corps after he went down with a knee sprain in Week 16. Close by Sony Michel, Los Angeles could have a likely threesome of hotshot transporters to take advantage of Cincinnati's guarded inadequacies.
A ground-and-pound approach could drain season of ownership for Los Angeles, restricting how much contacts Burrow gets with the football. What's more when the Cincinnati offense is on the field, Burrow will have the opportunity in the pocket to permit greater plays to create in the event that the Rams' pass rush shut in.
Tunnel was passed on to make many halfway tosses versus Kansas City, posting a normal of simply 6.6 yards per endeavor - his second-least single-game normal of the period. With respect to the postseason, Burrow's yards per pass endeavor is at 7.7, which is in excess of a yard lower than his standard season creation, and L.A. will be safeguarding against homer plays over the top.
The best of this all out is gone… for the time being. Super Bowl wagering designs frequently see a flood of Under cash drop the absolute before it gradually ascends back up the seven day stretch of the Super Bowl as open cash is expecting a high-scoring finale. With Matthew Stafford and Burrow featuring, that will not be a toug